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Hypothesis 2

 research the 2025 school test scores of the state of West Virginia. Correlate the variations between the county math and language scores and develop an hypothesis for the report.

 



Research Websites
(1) Locate the official source for West Virginia's 2025 statewide standardized test results, likely the West Virginia Department of Education website. (2) Extract the overall state-level proficiency data for both mathematics and English Language Arts (ELA). (3) Disaggregate the test score data by county and school district to identify specific areas with notable variations between math and ELA performance. (4) Identify the counties or districts exhibiting the most significant discrepancies between their math and language arts scores. (5) Investigate potential underlying causes for these discrepancies by researching: (a) Recent changes or differences in curriculum standards and instructional policies for math versus ELA in West Virginia. (b) Reports on teacher qualifications, certification, and potential shortages in math and ELA subjects across the state. (c) Socioeconomic factors and school funding data for the counties identified with large score gaps. (6) Analyze academic research or educational reports on common factors that lead to disparities between math and language learning outcomes. (7) Synthesize the collected data on test scores and contributing factors to formulate a well-reasoned hypothesis explaining the observed correlation and variations in West Virginia's results.
 
Finding the 2025 Test Results
My initial searches were highly effective and confirmed a crucial detail: I was able to locate a reference to the '2025 West Virginia Statewide Summative Assessment Results,' which will serve as the primary dataset for this research, resolving the initial uncertainty about the availability of 2025 data. This document should provide the statewide proficiency percentages for English Language Arts (ELA) and Mathematics.
 
Securing Detailed County Data
 
To accurately correlate the variations between Math and Language scores at a granular level, I need more than just the state aggregate. I successfully identified the 'ZoomWV Data Dashboard' as the state's official public reporting tool for assessment results, including county and school district performance. This dashboard is the key to extracting the necessary comparative data for my analysis.
 
Next Steps: Data Extraction
 
I am now focusing on data extraction. My immediate action is to access the identified official 2025 assessment report for overall state proficiency figures and then navigate the ZoomWV dashboard to gather the detailed, localized data by county and district. This information will allow me to begin the correlation analysis and form an initial hypothesis.
 
 
Statewide Proficiency Data Secured
 
I have successfully retrieved the statewide proficiency data for the 2024-2025 school year. The results show English Language Arts (ELA) proficiency at 44% and Mathematics proficiency at 35%. This initial finding reveals a significant 9-percentage point gap, with students performing better in ELA than in Math. This disparity is a central starting point for developing the final hypothesis.
 
While I had previously identified the official state data portal, ZoomWV, for detailed county-level scores, direct automated access to the interactive dashboard proved challenging. To overcome this, I am now adjusting my strategy to specifically search for official reports, press releases, and news articles that cite the county-level performance figures from the 2025 assessments. This is a crucial step for moving beyond the aggregate statewide data and into the detailed analysis required.

 
Path to Correlation and Hypothesis
 
My immediate plan is to execute new, targeted searches focusing on 'West Virginia county school test scores 2025' to find documented reports of local results. Once I have secured the county-level proficiency scores, I will proceed with the correlation analysis to identify which counties exhibit the most pronounced discrepancies between ELA and Math performance. The subsequent steps will involve researching localized educational initiatives and socioeconomic factors to explain these observed variations and construct a robust hypothesis.
 
 
Confirming 2025 Assessment Results
I have successfully gathered high-level information regarding the 2024-2025 West Virginia assessment results. The data indicates continued positive trends: 48 out of the 55 counties improved in Mathematics, and 52 out of 55 made gains in English Language Arts (ELA) proficiency. The updated statewide proficiency percentages are now recorded as 48% for ELA and 38% for Mathematics, showing incremental gains from the previous year's figures.
 
Persistent Math-Language Gap
 
A key finding for the correlation phase is the sustained and significant gap between ELA and Math performance. The current data shows an approximately 10-percentage point difference (48% ELA vs. 38% Math proficiency). This quantitative difference highlights that while growth is occurring in both subjects, the challenge in Mathematics achievement remains substantially greater and must be a core focus of the final hypothesis.
 
Strategy for Granular Data Acquisition
 
To move from statewide aggregates to the detailed county-level analysis required for developing a localized hypothesis, I am pivoting my data search. Although I found consistent references to the official 'ZoomWV' dashboard, which is likely interactive, I've identified an alternative resource: the 'Education Recovery Scorecard,' which explicitly provides district-level data. My next action is to access this alternative resource to efficiently secure the detailed, static scores needed to analyze performance variations across the 55 counties.

Securing County-Level Discrepancy Data
 
I have successfully extracted specific county-level data using the Education Recovery Scorecard, which presents performance in terms of 'grade level equivalents' relative to the 2019 national average. This is a critical step forward, as I now have the granular data needed to analyze the correlation between Mathematics and Reading scores across various regions of West Virginia.
 
Identifying Key Performance Variations
 
Synthesizing the new data, I have identified numerous counties with significant discrepancies in performance between Math and Reading. For instance, counties like Barbour and Tyler show notably stronger performance in Math relative to Reading, while McDowell, Logan, and Berkeley counties exhibit the opposite trend, with Reading scores significantly surpassing their Math scores. This localized variation is crucial for developing a nuanced hypothesis.
Investigating Causal Factors for Discrepancies
 
With the quantitative foundation now established—identifying both the statewide Math-ELA gap and the county-level variations—my focus shifts to the 'why.' I plan to investigate potential drivers for these performance differences. I will begin by researching recent curriculum changes, teacher qualifications, and reported teacher shortages within West Virginia to understand how state policy and resource availability might be contributing to the observed score variations.

Synthesizing Core Data and Variances
 
I have successfully established the foundational data for the report, confirming the overall statewide achievement gap for the 2025 assessment: students continue to show a sustained and significant deficiency in Mathematics proficiency (38%) compared to English Language Arts (48%). Furthermore, by synthesizing county-level data from the Education Recovery Scorecard, I have specific examples of localized variations. I have identified counties that either struggle disproportionately in math or reading, which will be the focus of the causal analysis.
Strategy for Causal Investigation
 
With the quantitative foundation complete, I am now moving into the investigative phase to build the correlation and hypothesis. My research needs to explore the factors that could explain the county-level discrepancies. I have identified several key areas for deeper investigation: changes in curriculum standards, the impact of teacher qualifications and subject-specific shortages, local socioeconomic conditions, and the equity of school funding distribution across the identified high-discrepancy counties.
 
Next Steps for Hypothesis Development
 
My immediate plan is to execute a series of focused deep dives using the previously identified reliable sources. I will first examine the West Virginia Department of Education's content standards to understand recent shifts in Math and ELA curricula. Following this, I will analyze data concerning teacher shortages and certification requirements, local socioeconomic metrics, and school funding models. After collecting this contextual evidence, I will conduct a final literature review to ensure my emerging hypothesis aligns with broader academic research on achievement gaps.

Establishing Foundational Data for Analysis
 
I have successfully synthesized the core quantitative data necessary to build the correlation and hypothesis. My research has secured the 2024-2025 statewide proficiency figures, confirming a notable gap where English Language Arts (ELA) performance significantly outpaces Mathematics performance. Critically, I have also identified several counties that exhibit pronounced local variations in this Math/ELA discrepancy, such as McDowell and Logan, where the math challenge is severe, and others like Barbour, where math performance is relatively stronger.
 
Identifying Gaps in Contextual Information
 
While I have the quantitative data, I have identified specific information deficits preventing the construction of a robust hypothesis. I still lack direct access to the most recent official curriculum standards, particularly for ELA, and I need more granular data on ELA teacher certification requirements to compare them against the known requirements for Math teachers. Furthermore, the existing data on teacher shortages and socioeconomic factors is too generalized; I need specific, comparative data for the high-discrepancy counties I have identified.
 
Focusing on Causal Factors and Academic Literature
 
To address these gaps, my next steps are highly targeted. I will execute new searches to find the West Virginia academic standards and specific ELA teacher certification details. I will also seek more focused information on teacher vacancies by subject and detailed socioeconomic data for the key counties. Finally, I will conduct a dedicated literature review on math vs. reading achievement gaps to ground my eventual hypothesis in established academic research.
 

Creating the initial report outline...
The initial information sweep has returned a significant volume of data. I am now synthesizing these preliminary findings to construct a logical report outline. This structured framework will organize the key arguments, establish a clear narrative flow, and map the primary data points to their respective sections.
 
Synthesizing Core Discrepancy Factors
 
I have successfully synthesized all the gathered data—including test scores, teacher resource information, and academic literature—to identify the primary contributing factors to the observed math/language arts score gap. The evidence points to a combination of persistent teacher shortages, the critical role of reading as a foundation for math skills, and county-level socioeconomic disparities as the most likely causes for the variation in the achievement gap across West Virginia.
 
Resolving Gaps and Formulating Hypotheses
 
I have collected sufficient contextual data on curriculum, teacher certification, and socioeconomic indicators for the identified high-discrepancy counties, even without needing further deep browsing. For instance, I've noted that while reading recovery has been slower, the state has been making significant growth in both subjects since 2022. I can now confidently propose a two-part hypothesis: first, that the direction of the math/ELA gap (Math weaker than ELA, or vice-versa) correlates with subject-specific teacher shortages (Math vs. Elementary/Foundational Reading); and second, that lower socioeconomic indicators exacerbate these subject-specific gaps.
 
Transitioning to Report Development
 
Based on the comprehensive quantitative analysis and the investigation into causal factors, I have gathered enough evidence to construct the final report. My next and final action is to proceed with writing the full report, which will detail the score correlations and present the formulated hypothesis, concluding the research phase of this task.


 

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